What might Trump's climate policy look like in his second term?

As climate change remains a primarily partisan issue our imagination remains closed to what a response to climate change will look like under a right wing or populist perspective. Climate change is today viewed in some conservative circles as an anti-western hoax, a conspiratorial lie, an overblown phenomenon or an uncontrollable natural event. Attempts to mitigate climate change are viewed alternatively as self-destructive or naive.

Discussions on climate change are colored by both scientific discourse but also the dueling views on the proper ordering of the world: post-colonial critical theory versus classical economic theory. critical theory starts with the premise of injustice. Critical theory aims to bring justice to the world by identifying and adjusting power relationships. Classical economics proceeds from a dismal view of material scarcity. Classical theory seeks to operate according to the rules of the world as we find it. As with most broad interpretations of the world they are both right and they are both wrong. These views seem urgent and vital today but if the climate is on the projected trajectory of disruption and general warming, these will soon be irrelevant. I am curious as to what a conservative American response to climate change can look like. Here are a few ideas. End of Coal A conservative regime could buttress American energy dominance by encouraging European and Asian fuel switching from Coal to Natural Gas. If North American reserves now available due to fracking are at the magnitudes sometimes reported in the media, a worldwide adoption of Natural Gas could profitably make the United States energy leader of the world. Increased capacity in liquefied natural gas shipping could reshape the world energy market and empower the United States. Reductions in emissions due to fuel switching would likely bring the world closer to the 30% target promised in Paris. A continental Carbon market Reductions in emissions would be achieved by fuel switching and carbon pricing across the NAFTA region. A revenue neutral carbon price slows the economy some but is offset by other tax reductions. Ultimately the tax on energy (thats what a carbon price is) leads to the a reduction in the progressive income tax which currently burdens the wealthy more than the rest of society. A tax regime primarily funded by carbon pricing allows for a regressive tax system to be implemented under the banner of environmentalism. A protected continental market Imports of goods would be reduced by applying a carbon tariff on all foreign goods produced outside of the continental market. The carbon content from coal fired Chinese manufacturing and bunker oil trans-oceanic shipping is priced accordingly. Suddenly North American products are competitive with Chinese products. Repeal Berlin protocol and all subsequent treaties The current climate approach is based on fairness. The emissions of the past from western countries must be atoned for in the present. The countries that did not get a chance to develop will be allowed to emit while western countries will need to curtail. No nation has ever voluntarily restricted it's interests in such a radical fashion in favor of those of foreign nations. We should not expect that we or our future selves will be any more enlightened. Harsh refugee regime Climate resilience may be turned on its head when the western nations are faced with millions of families fleeing desperation in hotter poorer countries. A conservative response in the future may be brutal in its response to the disruption from these refugees. Expect armed drones, high walls and shoot to kill along the borders. Water If water cycles are disrupted we may find lakes and rivers changing in ways that upend every country in the world. Expect a drastically different approach to water quality and conservation from all sides of the political spectrum. These are just a few areas of policy where current discourse does not yet address what the future actions will likely be. What are your thoughts?